Methodology
How we research and reason
A transparent account of the methods behind our calculations, models, and citations.
Every analytical claim on ProGamblers.com is reproducible from the inputs we cite. We publish formulas, assumptions, and code snippets where relevant.
Probability and implied odds
Implied probabilities are computed directly from posted prices using the standard American odds conversion. Margin removal (de-vigging) is applied with the simple proportional method unless otherwise noted.
Variance and simulation
Bankroll simulations use Monte Carlo with parameters explicitly stated per article. Random seeds are fixed for reproducibility.
Sources
Legal claims are sourced from state statutes and regulator filings. Behavioral claims are sourced from peer-reviewed publications. Industry statistics are sourced from publicly disclosed operator filings or audited reports.